Journal metrics

Journal metrics

  • h5-index value: 10 h5-index 10
Volume 15 | Copyright
Adv. Sci. Res., 15, 191-205, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-15-191-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

  23 Aug 2018

23 Aug 2018

Creating a proof-of-concept climate service to assess future renewable energy mixes in Europe: An overview of the C3S ECEM project

Alberto Troccoli1,2, Clare Goodess1, Phil Jones1,3, Lesley Penny1, Steve Dorling1,2, Colin Harpham1, Laurent Dubus4, Sylvie Parey4, Sandra Claudel4, Duc-Huy Khong4, Philip E. Bett5, Hazel Thornton5, Thierry Ranchin6, Lucien Wald6, Yves-Marie Saint-Drenan6, Matteo De Felice7, David Brayshaw8, Emma Suckling8, Barbara Percy9, and Jon Blower8,9 Alberto Troccoli et al.
  • 1UEA, School of Environmental Sciences, Norwich, UK
  • 2World Energy & Meteorology Council, Norwich, UK
  • 3Center of Excellence for Climate Change Research, Department of Meteorology, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia
  • 4EDF R&D, Paris, France
  • 5Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK
  • 6MINES ParisTech, PSL Research University, O.I.E. – Centre for Observation, Impacts, Energy, Antipolis, France
  • 7ENEA, Bologna, Italy
  • 8University of Reading, Reading, UK
  • 9Institute for Environmental Analytics, Reading, UK

Abstract. The EU Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) European Climatic Energy Mixes (ECEM) has produced, in close collaboration with prospective users, a proof-of-concept climate service, or Demonstrator, designed to enable the energy industry and policy makers assess how well different energy supply mixes in Europe will meet demand, over different time horizons (from seasonal to long-term decadal planning), focusing on the role climate has on the mixes. The concept of C3S ECEM, its methodology and some results are presented here. The first part focuses on the construction of reference data sets for climate variables based on the ERA-Interim reanalysis. Subsequently, energy variables were created by transforming the bias-adjusted climate variables using a combination of statistical and physically-based models. A comprehensive set of measured energy supply and demand data was also collected, in order to assess the robustness of the conversion to energy variables. Climate and energy data have been produced both for the historical period (1979–2016) and for future projections (from 1981 to 2100, to also include a past reference period, but focusing on the 30 year period 2035–2065). The skill of current seasonal forecast systems for climate and energy variables has also been assessed. The C3S ECEM project was designed to provide ample opportunities for stakeholders to convey their needs and expectations, and assist in the development of a suitable Demonstrator. This is the tool that collects the output produced by C3S ECEM and presents it in a user-friendly and interactive format, and it therefore constitutes the essence of the C3S ECEM proof-of-concept climate service.

Download & links
Publications Copernicus
Download
Short summary
The European Climatic Energy Mixes, an EU Copernicus Climate Change Service project, has produced, in close collaboration with prospective users, a proof-of-concept climate service, or Demonstrator, designed to enable the energy industry assess how well different energy supply mixes in Europe will meet demand, over different time horizons (from seasonal to long-term decadal planning), focusing on the role climate has on the mixes. Its concept, methodology and some results are presented here.
The European Climatic Energy Mixes, an EU Copernicus Climate Change Service project, has...
Citation
Share