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Advances in Science and Research Contributions in Applied Meteorology and Climatology
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Volume 12, issue 1
Adv. Sci. Res., 12, 51–55, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-12-51-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Adv. Sci. Res., 12, 51–55, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-12-51-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

  14 Apr 2015

14 Apr 2015

Towards an integrated probabilistic nowcasting system (En-INCA)

M. Suklitsch, A. Kann, and B. Bica M. Suklitsch et al.
  • Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Vienna, Austria

Abstract. Ensemble prediction systems are becoming of more and more interest for various applications. Especially ensemble nowcasting systems are increasingly requested by different end users. In this study we introduce such an integrated probabilistic nowcasting system, En-INCA. In a case study we show the added value and increased skill of the new system and demonstrate the improved performance in comparison with a state-of-the-art LAM-EPS.

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Short summary
Ensemble prediction systems are becoming of more and more interest for various applications. They are used to account for uncertainties that exist from the very beginning of a forecast due to the chaotic behavior of atmospheric processes as well as approximations in numerical models. Ensemble nowcasting systems are therefore increasingly requested by end users. In this study we show that En-INCA, an integrated probabilistic nowcasting system, is able to improve existing state-of-the-art LAM-EPS.
Ensemble prediction systems are becoming of more and more interest for various applications....
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