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Advances in Science and Research The open-access proceedings of the European Meteorological Society (EMS)

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Adv. Sci. Res., 13, 113-120, 2016
http://www.adv-sci-res.net/13/113/2016/
doi:10.5194/asr-13-113-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed
under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
 
18 Jul 2016
Wind gust warning verification
Cristina Primo Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach am Main, 63067, Germany
Abstract. Operational meteorological centres around the world increasingly include warnings as one of their regular forecast products. Warnings are issued to warn the public about extreme weather situations that might occur leading to damages and losses. In forecasting these extreme events, meteorological centres help their potential users in preventing the damage or losses they might suffer. However, verifying these warnings requires specific methods. This is due not only to the fact that they happen rarely, but also because a new temporal dimension is added when defining a warning, namely the time window of the forecasted event. This paper analyses the issues that might appear when dealing with warning verification. It also proposes some new verification approaches that can be applied to wind warnings. These new techniques are later applied to a real life example, the verification of wind gust warnings at the German Meteorological Centre ("Deutscher Wetterdienst"). Finally, the results obtained from the latter are discussed.

Citation: Primo, C.: Wind gust warning verification, Adv. Sci. Res., 13, 113-120, doi:10.5194/asr-13-113-2016, 2016.
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Short summary
Warnings have become a standard product in meteorological centres since they help the public prevent major disasters and minimize costs or losses. They happen rarely and add a new temporal dimension, namely the time window of the forecasted event. Thus, specific verification methods are required to verify warnings. This paper analyses the warning verification issues and includes a real life example, the verification of wind gust warnings at the German Meteorological Centre (Deutscher Wetterdienst).
Warnings have become a standard product in meteorological centres since they help the public...
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